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@article{anderson-teixeiraAlteredDynamicsForest2013,
	title = {Altered dynamics of forest recovery under a changing climate},
	volume = {19},
	issn = {1365-2486},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.12194},
	doi = {10.1111/gcb.12194},
		pages = {2001--2021},
	number = {7},
	journaltitle = {Global Change Biology},
	author = {Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina J. and Miller, Adam D. and Mohan, Jacqueline E. and Hudiburg, Tara W. and Duval, Benjamin D. and {DeLucia}, Evan H.},
	urldate = {2026-06-01},
	date = {2013},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {{FACE}, biogeochemistry, climate feedback, irrigation, regime shift, succession, throughfall manipulation, warming},
}

@article{blockEcologicalLagsGovern2022,
	title = {Ecological lags govern the pace and outcome of plant community responses to 21st-century climate change},
	volume = {25},
	issn = {1461-0248},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ele.14087},
	doi = {10.1111/ele.14087},
		pages = {2156--2166},
	number = {10},
	journaltitle = {Ecology Letters},
	author = {Block, Sebastián and Maechler, Marc-Jacques and Levine, Jacob I. and Alexander, Jake M. and Pellissier, Loïc and Levine, Jonathan M.},
	urldate = {2026-06-01},
	date = {2022},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {alpine plants, competition, demography, disequilibrium dynamics, thermophilisation, time lags, transient dynamics, transplant experiment},
}

@article{schweigerClimaticDisequilibriumTree2024,
	title = {Climatic disequilibrium in tree cover is frequent in protected areas worldwide — implications for conservation and restoration},
	volume = {35},
	issn = {1654-1103},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/jvs.13298},
	doi = {10.1111/jvs.13298},
		pages = {e13298},
	number = {4},
	journaltitle = {Journal of Vegetation Science},
	author = {Schweiger, Andreas Hubert and Svenning, Jens-Christian},
	urldate = {2026-06-01},
	date = {2024},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {climate change, conservation, green world hypothesis, non-equilibrium, restoration, rewilding},
}

@article{littellReviewRelationshipsDrought2016,
	title = {A review of the relationships between drought and forest fire in the United States},
	volume = {22},
	issn = {1365-2486},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.13275},
	doi = {10.1111/gcb.13275},
		pages = {2353--2369},
	number = {7},
	journaltitle = {Global Change Biology},
	author = {Littell, Jeremy S. and Peterson, David L. and Riley, Karin L. and Liu, Yongquiang and Luce, Charles H.},
	urldate = {2026-06-23},
	date = {2016},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {climate change, climate variability, drought, ecological drought, fire, water balance},
}

@article{kueppersWarmingProvenanceLimit2017,
	title = {Warming and provenance limit tree recruitment across and beyond the elevation range of subalpine forest},
	volume = {23},
	issn = {1365-2486},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.13561},
	doi = {10.1111/gcb.13561},
		pages = {2383--2395},
	number = {6},
	journaltitle = {Global Change Biology},
	author = {Kueppers, Lara M. and Conlisk, Erin and Castanha, Cristina and Moyes, Andrew B. and Germino, Matthew J. and de Valpine, Perry and Torn, Margaret S. and Mitton, Jeffry B.},
	urldate = {2026-06-01},
	date = {2017},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {Engelmann spruce, Picea engelmannii, Pinus flexilis, alpine treeline, climate change experiment, limber pine, seedling demography, species range shift},
}

@article{ellisGlobalIncreaseWildfire2022,
	title = {Global increase in wildfire risk due to climate-driven declines in fuel moisture},
	volume = {28},
	issn = {1365-2486},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.16006},
	doi = {10.1111/gcb.16006},
		pages = {1544--1559},
	number = {4},
	journaltitle = {Global Change Biology},
	author = {Ellis, Todd M. and Bowman, David M. J. S. and Jain, Piyush and Flannigan, Mike D. and Williamson, Grant J.},
	urldate = {2026-06-01},
	date = {2022},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {climate change, climate reanalysis, fire risk, fuel, fuel moisture, net primary productivity, pyrogeography, wildfire},
}

@article{feketeLongtermEffectsClimate2017,
	title = {Long-term effects of climate change on carbon storage and tree species composition in a dry deciduous forest},
	volume = {23},
	issn = {1365-2486},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/gcb.13669},
	doi = {10.1111/gcb.13669},
		pages = {3154--3168},
	number = {8},
	journaltitle = {Global Change Biology},
	author = {Fekete, István and Lajtha, Kate and Kotroczó, Zsolt and Várbíró, Gábor and Varga, Csaba and Tóth, János Attila and Demeter, Ibolya and Veperdi, Gábor and Berki, Imre},
	urldate = {2026-06-23},
	date = {2017},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {Síkfőkút Forest, coarse woody debris, dry conditions in forest, forest stand composition and diversity change, net primary production, oak decline, soil carbon storage},
}

@misc{calfire_fhsz_2024,
	title = {Fire Hazard Severity Zones},
	url = {https://osfm.fire.ca.gov/what-we-do/community-wildfire-preparedness-and-mitigation/fire-hazard-severity-zones},
	publisher = {California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection},
	author = {{California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection}},
	urldate = {2026-04-28},
	date = {2025},
}

@article{Radeloff2023,
	title = {The 1990-2020 wildland-urban interface of the conterminous United States - geospatial data: 4th edition},
	url = {https://agdatacommons.nal.usda.gov/articles/dataset/The_2010_wildland-urban_interface_of_the_conterminous_United_States_-_geospatial_data_1st_edition/27006235},
	doi = {10.2737/RDS-2015-0012-4},
	author = {Radeloff, Volker C. and Helmers, David P. and Mockrin, Miranda H. and Carlson, Amanda R. and Hawbaker, Todd J. and Martinuzzi, Sebastián},
	date = {2023-01},
}

@misc{zhang2025fwi,
	title = {High-resolution fire weather index data for the conterminous {US} (1980–2099), Version 1},
	url = {https://doi.org/10.13139/OLCF/2533549},
	doi = {10.13139/OLCF/2533549},
	version = {1},
	publisher = {Oak Ridge National Laboratory ({ORNL}), Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility ({OLCF})},
	author = {Zhang, Tianqi and Mao, Jiafu and Kao, Shih-Chieh},
	date = {2025},
}

@misc{usgs_srtm1,
	title = {Shuttle Radar Topography Mission ({SRTM}) 1 arc-second global},
	url = {https://doi.org/10.5066/F7PR7TFT},
	doi = {10.5066/F7PR7TFT},
	publisher = {U.S. Geological Survey, Earth Resources Observation and Science ({EROS}) Center},
	author = {{U.S.G.S.}},
	date = {2017},
}

@article{wood2011mgcv,
	title = {Fast stable restricted maximum likelihood and marginal likelihood estimation of semiparametric generalized linear models},
	volume = {73},
	doi = {10.1111/j.1467-9868.2010.00749.x},
	pages = {3--36},
	number = {1},
	journaltitle = {Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (B)},
	author = {Wood, S. N.},
	date = {2011},
}

@article{wood2016gsm,
	title = {Smoothing parameter and model selection for general smooth models},
	volume = {111},
	doi = {10.1080/01621459.2016.1180986},
	pages = {1548--1575},
	journaltitle = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	author = {Wood, S. N. and Pya, N. and Säfken, B.},
	date = {2016},
}

@article{pebesma2018sf,
	title = {Simple features for R: Standardized support for spatial vector data},
	volume = {10},
	doi = {10.32614/RJ-2018-009},
	pages = {439--446},
	number = {1},
	journaltitle = {The R Journal},
	author = {Pebesma, Edzer},
	date = {2018},
}

@report{hijmans2026terra,
	title = {terra: Spatial data analysis},
	url = {https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=terra},
	doi = {10.32614/CRAN.package.terra},
	type = {manual},
	author = {Hijmans, Robert J. and Brown, Andrew and Barbosa, Márcia},
	date = {2026},
}

@article{wickham2019tidyverse,
	title = {Welcome to the {\textless}span class="nocase"{\textgreater}tidyverse{\textless}/span{\textgreater}},
	volume = {4},
	doi = {10.21105/joss.01686},
	pages = {1686},
	number = {43},
	journaltitle = {Journal of Open Source Software},
	author = {Wickham, Hadley and {others}},
	date = {2019},
}

@misc{mtbs,
	title = {{MTBS} thematic burn severity mosaics},
	url = {https://www.mtbs.gov/},
	publisher = {{USDA} Forest Service Geospatial Technology and Applications Center ({GTAC}), Salt Lake City, {UT}; {USGS} Earth Resources Observation and Science ({EROS}) Center, Sioux Falls, {SD}},
	author = {{MTBS Project}},
	urldate = {2025-02-03},
	date = {2025},
}

@online{dillonWildfireHazardPotential2024,
	title = {Wildfire Hazard Potential {\textbar} {US} Forest Service Research and Development},
	url = {https://research.fs.usda.gov/firelab/products/dataandtools/wildfire-hazard-potential},
		type = {Text},
	author = {Dillon, Greg},
	urldate = {2026-06-23},
	date = {2024-06-17},
	langid = {english},
}

@misc{dillonWildfireHazardPotential2020,
	title = {Wildfire Hazard Potential for the United States (270-m), version 2020},
	url = {https://www.fs.usda.gov/rds/archive/Catalog/RDS-2015-0047-3},
	doi = {10.2737/RDS-2015-0047-3},
	author = {Dillon, Gregory K. and Gilbertson-Day, Julie W.},
	urldate = {2026-02-23},
	date = {2020},
	langid = {english},
}

@article{halofskyChangingWildfireChanging2020,
	title = {Changing wildfire, changing forests: the effects of climate change on fire regimes and vegetation in the Pacific Northwest, {USA}},
	volume = {16},
	issn = {1933-9747},
	url = {https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408-019-0062-8},
	doi = {10.1186/s42408-019-0062-8},
	shorttitle = {Changing wildfire, changing forests},
		pages = {4},
	number = {1},
	journaltitle = {Fire Ecology},
	shortjournal = {fire ecol},
	author = {Halofsky, Jessica E. and Peterson, David L. and Harvey, Brian J.},
	urldate = {2026-06-23},
	date = {2020-01-27},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {Pacific Northwest, adaptation, climate change, disturbance regimes, drought, fire regime, regeneration, vegetation},
}

@article{laflowerClimatedrivenChangesForest2016,
	title = {Climate-driven changes in forest succession and the influence of management on forest carbon dynamics in the Puget Lowlands of Washington State, {USA}},
	volume = {362},
	issn = {0378-1127},
	url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378112715007422},
	doi = {10.1016/j.foreco.2015.12.015},
		pages = {194--204},
	journaltitle = {Forest Ecology and Management},
	shortjournal = {Forest Ecology and Management},
	author = {Laflower, Danelle M. and Hurteau, Matthew D. and Koch, George W. and North, Malcolm P. and Hungate, Bruce A.},
	urldate = {2026-06-23},
	date = {2016-02-15},
	keywords = {Carbon, Climate change, Disturbance, {LANDIS}-{II}, Succession},
}

@article{serra-diazDisequilibriumFireproneForests2018,
	title = {Disequilibrium of fire-prone forests sets the stage for a rapid decline in conifer dominance during the 21st century},
	volume = {8},
	rights = {2018 The Author(s)},
	issn = {2045-2322},
	url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-24642-2},
	doi = {10.1038/s41598-018-24642-2},
		pages = {6749},
	number = {1},
	journaltitle = {Scientific Reports},
	shortjournal = {Sci Rep},
	publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
	author = {Serra-Diaz, Josep M. and Maxwell, Charles and Lucash, Melissa S. and Scheller, Robert M. and Laflower, Danelle M. and Miller, Adam D. and Tepley, Alan J. and Epstein, Howard E. and Anderson-Teixeira, Kristina J. and Thompson, Jonathan R.},
	urldate = {2026-06-01},
	date = {2018-04-30},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {Climate-change ecology, Ecological modelling, Fire ecology, Forest ecology},
}

@article{stemkovskiLinkingCommunityClimateDisequilibrium2026,
	title = {Linking Community-Climate Disequilibrium to Ecosystem Function},
	volume = {29},
	rights = {© 2026 John Wiley \& Sons Ltd. This article has been contributed to by U.S. Government employees and their work is in the public domain in the {USA}.},
	issn = {1461-0248},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/ele.70314},
	doi = {10.1111/ele.70314},
		pages = {e70314},
	number = {1},
	journaltitle = {Ecology Letters},
	author = {Stemkovski, Michael and Cortez, Michael H. and Bernhardt, Joey R. and Bladen, Kelvyn K. and Bradford, John B. and Clark-Wolf, Kyra and Evans, Margaret E. K. and Johnson, Loretta C. and Lynch, Abigail J. and Pastore, Melissa A. and Pinsky, Malin L. and Rollinson, Christine R. and Selmoni, Oliver and Walker, Anthony P. and Williams, John W. and Adler, Peter B.},
	urldate = {2026-06-01},
	date = {2026},
	langid = {english},
	note = {\_eprint: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/ele.70314},
	keywords = {climate change, community climate niche, community turnover, ecological acclimation, lags, nonstationary, species composition, timescale, transient dynamics},
}

@article{harrisonClimateVegetationPeople,
	title = {Climate, vegetation, people: disentangling the controls of fire at different timescales},
	doi = {10.1098/rstb.2023.0464},
	author = {Harrison, Sandy P and Haas, Olivia and Bartlein, Patrick J and Sweeney, Luke and Zhang, Guoxi},
	date = {2026},
	langid = {english},
}

@article{murphyWeatherAssociatedRapidGrowth2025,
	title = {Weather Associated with Rapid-Growth California Wildfires},
	volume = {40},
	rights = {http://www.ametsoc.org/{PUBSReuseLicenses}},
	issn = {0882-8156, 1520-0434},
	url = {https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/wefo/40/2/WAF-D-24-0025.1.xml},
	doi = {10.1175/WAF-D-24-0025.1},
	pages = {347--366},
	number = {2},
	journaltitle = {Weather and Forecasting},
	author = {Murphy, Patrick and Mass, Clifford},
	urldate = {2026-04-30},
	date = {2025-02},
	langid = {english},
}

@article{kellyDigitizationHistoricDataset2005,
	title = {Digitization of a Historic Dataset: The Wieslander California Vegetation Type Mapping Project},
	volume = {52},
	issn = {0024-9637},
	url = {http://www.bioone.org/doi/abs/10.3120/0024-9637%282005%2952%5B191%3ADOAHDT%5D2.0.CO%3B2},
	doi = {10.3120/0024-9637},
	shorttitle = {{DIGITIZATION} {OF} A {HISTORIC} {DATASET}},
	pages = {191--201},
	number = {3},
	journaltitle = {Madroño},
	shortjournal = {Madroño},
	author = {Kelly, Maggi and Allen-Diaz, Barbara and Kobzina, Norma},
	urldate = {2020-01-28},
	date = {2005-07},
	langid = {english},
	note = {25 citations (Crossref) [2023-03-13]},
	keywords = {data source, vegetation of the anthropocene},
}

@article{kumarCompoundingEffectsClimate2025,
	title = {Compounding effects of climate change and {WUI} expansion quadruple the likelihood of extreme-impact wildfires in California},
	volume = {2},
	issn = {2948-2100},
	url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s44304-025-00067-6},
	doi = {10.1038/s44304-025-00067-6},
	pages = {17},
	number = {1},
	journaltitle = {npj Natural Hazards},
	shortjournal = {npj Nat. Hazards},
	author = {Kumar, Mukesh and {AghaKouchak}, Amir and Abatzoglou, John T. and Sadegh, Mojtaba},
	urldate = {2026-04-30},
	date = {2025-02-21},
	langid = {english},
}

@article{wieslanderFirstStepsForest1935,
	title = {First Steps of the Forest Survey in California},
	pages = {8},
	author = {Wieslander, A E},
	date = {1935},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {wieslander, zombie forest},
}

@misc{u.s.forestserviceEVegMidRegion2019,
	title = {{EVeg} Mid Region 5 North Sierra},
	url = {http://data.fs.usda.gov/geodata/edw/datasets.php},
	type = {vector digital data},
	editora = {{U.S. Forest Service}},
	editoratype = {collaborator},
	date = {2019},
}

@misc{u.s.forestserviceEVegMidRegion2018,
	title = {{EVeg} Mid Region 5 South Sierra},
	type = {vector digital data},
	editora = {{U.S. Forest Service}},
	editoratype = {collaborator},
	date = {2018},
}

@misc{u.s.epaLevelEcoregionsNorth2010,
	location = {Corvallis, {OR}},
	title = {Level I Ecoregions of North America Shapefile},
	url = {ftp://newftp.epa.gov/EPADataCommons/ORD/Ecoregions/cec_na/na_cec_eco_l1.zip},
	publisher = {U.S. {EPA} Office of Research \& Development ({ORD})},
	editora = {{U.S. EPA}},
	editoratype = {collaborator},
	date = {2010},
}

@misc{prismclimategroupPRISMClimateData2013,
	title = {{PRISM} Climate Data},
	url = {https://prism.oregonstate.edu/},
	publisher = {Oregon State University},
	author = {{PRISM Climate Group}},
	date = {2013},
	note = {Place: Corvallis, {OR}},
}

@article{svenningDisequilibriumVegetationDynamics2013,
	title = {Disequilibrium vegetation dynamics under future climate change},
	volume = {100},
	issn = {00029122},
	url = {http://doi.wiley.com/10.3732/ajb.1200469},
	doi = {10.3732/ajb.1200469},
	pages = {1266--1286},
	number = {7},
	journaltitle = {American Journal of Botany},
	shortjournal = {American Journal of Botany},
	author = {Svenning, Jens-Christian and Sandel, Brody},
	urldate = {2019-06-17},
	date = {2013-07},
	langid = {english},
	note = {322 citations (Crossref) [2023-03-13]},
	keywords = {fire migration},
}

@article{mcfarlandExtremeFireSpread2025,
	title = {Extreme Fire Spread Events Burn More Severely and Homogenize Postfire Landscapes in the Southwestern United States},
	volume = {31},
	issn = {1354-1013, 1365-2486},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.70106},
	doi = {10.1111/gcb.70106},
		pages = {e70106},
	number = {2},
	journaltitle = {Global Change Biology},
	shortjournal = {Global Change Biology},
	author = {{McFarland}, Jessika R. and Coop, Jonathan D. and Balik, Jared A. and Rodman, Kyle C. and Parks, Sean A. and Stevens‐Rumann, Camille S.},
	urldate = {2026-04-29},
	date = {2025-02},
	langid = {english},
}

@article{mcnellisTreeMortalityWestern2021,
	title = {Tree mortality in western U.S. forests forecasted using forest inventory and Random Forest classification},
	volume = {12},
	rights = {© 2021 The Authors.},
	issn = {2150-8925},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/ecs2.3419},
	doi = {10.1002/ecs2.3419},
		pages = {e03419},
	number = {3},
	journaltitle = {Ecosphere},
	author = {{McNellis}, Brandon E. and Smith, Alistair M. S. and Hudak, Andrew T. and Strand, Eva K.},
	urldate = {2026-04-29},
	date = {2021},
	langid = {english},
	note = {\_eprint: https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/ecs2.3419},
	keywords = {Forest Inventory Analysis, Random Forest, bark beetles, drought mortality, dynamic vegetation model, forest dieback, forest disease, recent mortality, tree mortality, western {USA}},
}

@incollection{stanturfAdvancesManagingMonitoring2019,
	title = {Advances in managing and monitoring natural hazards and forest disturbances},
	isbn = {978-1-78676-292-4},
	url = {https://www.bdspublishing.com/webshop/chapters/forestry/advances-in-monitoring-and-managing-natural-hazards-and-forest-disturbances/},
	doi = {10.19103/AS.2019.0057.21},
	pages = {627--716},
	booktitle = {Burleigh Dodds Series in Agricultural Science},
	publisher = {Burleigh Dodds Science Publishing},
	author = {Stanturf, John A. and Frelich, Lee and {University of Minnesota, USA} and Donoso, Pablo J. and {Universidad Austral de Chile, Chile} and Kuuluvainen, Timo and {University of Helsinki, Finland}},
	editor = {Stanturf, John A.},
	urldate = {2026-04-29},
	date = {2019-11-26},
}

@article{lenoirSpeciesBetterTrack2020,
	title = {Species better track climate warming in the oceans than on land},
	volume = {4},
	rights = {2020 The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited},
	issn = {2397-334X},
	url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-020-1198-2},
	doi = {10.1038/s41559-020-1198-2},
		pages = {1044--1059},
	number = {8},
	journaltitle = {Nature Ecology \& Evolution},
	shortjournal = {Nat Ecol Evol},
	publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
	author = {Lenoir, Jonathan and Bertrand, Romain and Comte, Lise and Bourgeaud, Luana and Hattab, Tarek and Murienne, Jérôme and Grenouillet, Gaël},
	urldate = {2026-04-29},
	date = {2020-08},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {Biogeography, Climate-change ecology, Macroecology},
}

@article{lawlorMechanismsDetectionImpacts2024,
	title = {Mechanisms, detection and impacts of species redistributions under climate change},
	volume = {5},
	rights = {2024 Springer Nature Limited},
	issn = {2662-138X},
	url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s43017-024-00527-z},
	doi = {10.1038/s43017-024-00527-z},
		pages = {351--368},
	number = {5},
	journaltitle = {Nature Reviews Earth \& Environment},
	shortjournal = {Nat Rev Earth Environ},
	publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
	author = {Lawlor, Jake A. and Comte, Lise and Grenouillet, Gaël and Lenoir, Jonathan and Baecher, J. Alex and Bandara, R. M. W. J. and Bertrand, Romain and Chen, I.-Ching and Diamond, Sarah E. and Lancaster, Lesley T. and Moore, Nikki and Murienne, Jerome and Oliveira, Brunno F. and Pecl, Gretta T. and Pinsky, Malin L. and Rolland, Jonathan and Rubenstein, Madeleine and Scheffers, Brett R. and Thompson, Laura M. and van Amerom, Brit and Villalobos, Fabricio and Weiskopf, Sarah R. and Sunday, Jennifer},
	urldate = {2025-12-10},
	date = {2024-05},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {Biogeography, Climate-change ecology},
}

@report{ipbesIPBESGlobalAssessment2019,
	location = {Bonn, Germany},
	title = {{IPBES} Global Assessment 2019},
	institution = {{IPBES} Secretariat},
	author = {{IPBES}},
	date = {2019},
}

@article{simler-williamsonStatisticalConsiderationsNonrandom2022,
	title = {Statistical considerations of nonrandom treatment applications reveal region-wide benefits of widespread post-fire restoration action},
	volume = {13},
	rights = {2022 The Author(s)},
	issn = {2041-1723},
	url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-31102-z},
	doi = {10.1038/s41467-022-31102-z},
		pages = {3472},
	number = {1},
	journaltitle = {Nature Communications},
	shortjournal = {Nat Commun},
	publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
	author = {Simler-Williamson, Allison B. and Germino, Matthew J.},
	urldate = {2026-03-27},
	date = {2022-06-16},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {Climate-change ecology, Ecological modelling, Fire ecology, Restoration ecology},
}

@article{abatzoglouImpactAnthropogenicClimate2016,
	title = {Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western {US} forests},
	volume = {113},
	url = {https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.1607171113},
	doi = {10.1073/pnas.1607171113},
		pages = {11770--11775},
	number = {42},
	journaltitle = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
	publisher = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},
	author = {Abatzoglou, John T. and Williams, A. Park},
	urldate = {2026-03-27},
	date = {2016-10-18},
}

@article{abatzoglouTerraClimateHighresolutionGlobal2018,
	title = {{TerraClimate}, a high-resolution global dataset of monthly climate and climatic water balance from 1958–2015},
	volume = {5},
	rights = {2018 The Author(s)},
	issn = {2052-4463},
	url = {https://www.nature.com/articles/sdata2017191},
	doi = {10.1038/sdata.2017.191},
		pages = {170191},
	number = {1},
	journaltitle = {Scientific Data},
	shortjournal = {Sci Data},
	publisher = {Nature Publishing Group},
	author = {Abatzoglou, John T. and Dobrowski, Solomon Z. and Parks, Sean A. and Hegewisch, Katherine C.},
	urldate = {2026-03-27},
	date = {2018-01-09},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {Biogeography, Climate and Earth system modelling, Hydrology},
}

@online{cookFIREDUSCANADA,
	title = {{FIRED} {US} {CANADA}},
	url = {https://scholar.colorado.edu/concern/datasets/8336h304x},
	doi = {10.25810/70bv-6634},
	publisher = {{CIRES} Earth Lab},
	author = {Cook, Maxwell C. and Williams, Travis and {McGlinchy}, Joe and Mahood, Adam L. and Lindrooth, Estelle J. and Balch, Jennifer K. and St. Denis, Lise A. and Mietkiewicz, Nathan P.},
	date = {2022-11-04},
	keywords = {Fire},
}

@article{harrisAspenImpedesWildfire2025,
	title = {Aspen impedes wildfire spread in southwestern United States landscapes},
	volume = {35},
	rights = {© 2025 The Author(s). Ecological Applications published by Wiley Periodicals {LLC} on behalf of The Ecological Society of America.},
	issn = {1939-5582},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/eap.70061},
	doi = {10.1002/eap.70061},
		pages = {e70061},
	number = {5},
	journaltitle = {Ecological Applications},
	author = {Harris, Matthew P. and Coop, Jonathan D. and Balik, Jared A. and {McFarland}, Jessika R. and Parks, Sean A. and Stevens-Rumann, Camille S.},
	urldate = {2025-08-22},
	date = {2025},
	langid = {english},
	keywords = {broadleaf forest, climate change, conifer forest, fuel treatment, green fuel break, quaking aspen, resilience, stabilizing feedback, wildfire},
}

@article{balchFastestgrowingMostDestructive2024,
	title = {The fastest-growing and most destructive fires in the {US} (2001 to 2020)},
	volume = {386},
	url = {https://www.science.org/doi/full/10.1126/science.adk5737},
	doi = {10.1126/science.adk5737},
		pages = {425--431},
	number = {6720},
	journaltitle = {Science},
	publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of Science},
	author = {Balch, Jennifer K. and Iglesias, Virginia and Mahood, Adam L. and Cook, Maxwell C. and Amaral, Cibele and {DeCastro}, Amy and Leyk, Stefan and {McIntosh}, Tyler L. and Nagy, R. Chelsea and St. Denis, Lise and Tuff, Ty and Verleye, Erick and Williams, A. Park and Kolden, Crystal A.},
	urldate = {2025-04-28},
	date = {2024-10-25},
}

@article{balchFIREDFireEvents2020,
	title = {{FIRED} (Fire Events Delineation): An Open, Flexible Algorithm and Database of {US} Fire Events Derived from the {MODIS} Burned Area Product (2001–2019)},
	volume = {12},
	rights = {https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/},
	issn = {2072-4292},
	url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/12/21/3498},
	doi = {10.3390/rs12213498},
	shorttitle = {{FIRED} (Fire Events Delineation)},
		pages = {3498},
	number = {21},
	journaltitle = {Remote Sensing},
	shortjournal = {Remote Sensing},
	author = {Balch, Jennifer K. and St. Denis, Lise A. and Mahood, Adam L. and Mietkiewicz, Nathan P. and Williams, Travis M. and {McGlinchy}, Joe and Cook, Maxwell C.},
	urldate = {2025-09-04},
	date = {2020-10-24},
	langid = {english},
}

@article{arel-bundockHowInterpretStatistical2024,
	title = {How to Interpret Statistical Models Using \textbf{marginaleffects} for \textit{R} and \textit{Python}},
	volume = {111},
	issn = {1548-7660},
	url = {https://www.jstatsoft.org/v111/i09/},
	doi = {10.18637/jss.v111.i09},
	number = {9},
	journaltitle = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	shortjournal = {J. Stat. Soft.},
	author = {Arel-Bundock, Vincent and Greifer, Noah and Heiss, Andrew},
	urldate = {2026-03-19},
	date = {2024},
	langid = {english},
}

@article{brooksGlmmTMBBalancesSpeed2017,
	title = {{glmmTMB} Balances Speed and Flexibility Among Packages for Zero-inflated Generalized Linear Mixed Modeling},
	url = {https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/r-journal/675},
	journaltitle = {The R Journal},
	author = {Brooks, Mollie and Kristensen, Kasper and Benthem, Koen van and Magnusson, Arni and Berg, Casper and Nielsen, Anders and Skaug, Hans and Mächler, Martin and Bolker, Benjamin},
	date = {2017-12-01},
}

@article{hillLowelevationConifersCalifornia2023,
	title = {Low-elevation conifers in California’s Sierra Nevada are out of equilibrium with climate},
	volume = {2},
	issn = {2752-6542},
	url = {https://academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/article/doi/10.1093/pnasnexus/pgad004/7059010},
	doi = {10.1093/pnasnexus/pgad004},
		pages = {pgad004},
	number = {2},
	journaltitle = {{PNAS} Nexus},
	author = {Hill, Avery P and Nolan, Connor J and Hemes, Kyle S and Cambron, Trevor W and Field, Christopher B},
	editor = {Bovell-Benjamin, Adelia},
	urldate = {2023-10-12},
	date = {2023-02-03},
	langid = {english},
	note = {2 citations (Crossref) [2023-10-12]},
}